Solana has made history by posting an unprecedented streak of monthly losses, placing the cryptocurrency at a critical crossroads. While the trend remains bearish, similar conditions in previous cycles have preceded major recoveries.Â
Solana Records An Unprecedented Eight Consecutive Red Months
In a recent market analysis, Crypto Patel highlighted a remarkable development in Solana’s price history. SOL has now posted eight consecutive red monthly candles, marking the first time such a streak has occurred since the cryptocurrency was launched. This rare event could provide valuable clues about where the market stands within its broader cycle.
Drawing comparisons to the previous bear market, the analyst recalled Solana’s dramatic decline from its 2021 all-time high near $260 to a low of approximately $8. During the downturn, SOL produced 9 monthly red candles in total, but they were not consecutive. Notably, the 9th red candle marked the cycle bottom, after which SOL embarked on a powerful recovery that ultimately pushed the asset to a new all-time high around $295.
Patel pointed out that the current setup shares some similarities with that of the earlier period, but with notable differences. Solana has already fallen from roughly $253 to $67 while recording 8 straight months of losses, with the 9th monthly candle currently taking shape.
While cautioning that it is still too early to draw firm conclusions, the analyst suggested that a repeat of the previous cycle’s behavior could signal the emergence of a macro accumulation zone at the $50–$80 range. A repetition of this pattern raises the possibility of SOL surging to higher levels between $500 and $1,000 during the next major market expansion.
Ending Diagonal Pattern Hints At A Potential Trend Reversal
On the 4-hour timeframe, Elliott Waves Academy has identified that Solana is currently forming an ending diagonal pattern. This structure represents the wave 5 of a bearish impulse, which is nested within a larger-degree impulse sequence, suggesting the asset is nearing the conclusion of its immediate downward trajectory.
The recovery outlook will be confirmed once this pattern is finalized, specifically through a clean breakout of a key level and the upper boundary of the pattern. Once established, this confirms the beginning of an upward corrective wave. Based on the length of the preceding wave, the price is ideally projected to target the ratios outlined on the chart as it attempts to stabilize.
While the initial targets are clear, the upward movement is likely to extend further depending on evolving market developments. If the price breaks decisively above the wave peak, it would significantly strengthen the bullish scenario, paving the way for a more substantial recovery.
Other technical factors bolstering this bullish outlook are a clear five-wave impulse structure representing wave (1)/(A), alongside a strong reversal pattern forming near the diagonal’s lower boundary. Furthermore, the internal corrective movements observed are consistent with the formation of the expected diagonal.
