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XRP At $21.5 Isn’t A Bet: Why This Analyst Says A Measured Move Is Coming

Jon Hartney by Jon Hartney
May 11, 2026
in Bitcoin, Blockchain, Business, Market
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XRP At $21.5 Isn’t A Bet: Why This Analyst Says A Measured Move Is Coming
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Crypto analyst Tom has declared that a projected XRP rally to $21.5 isn’t a gamble and will definitely happen. This came as he revealed that a measured move is coming for the altcoin, which will send its price to this $21 target.  

XRP Eyes Measured Move To New ATH Of $21.5

In an X post, Tom said that XRP is set to see a measured move to a new all-time high (ATH) of $21.50, with this price target also his second take-profit zone. The analyst revealed that he had held XRP when the token was trading at $0.30 and and held until it reached its current ATH of $3.84. 

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Now, the analyst is again holding the token, targeting higher prices for XRP. He highlighted some positives as the token eyes the $21.50 target, noting that the 3-week golden cross has fired. Furthermore, Tom noted that the current base is a 1:1 fractal of the 2014 to 2017 cycle and that the volume is lower than the last cycle’s bottom, with supply gone. 

XRP

In another X post, the analyst reiterated his bullish outlook for XRP, citing the CLARITY Act as a catalyst that could spark a rally. His accompanying chart showed that the altcoin could reach $2.8 by July, which is around when the crypto bill could pass. The bill is a positive for XRP, as it will provide regulatory clarity by classifying XRP as a commodity. 

Crypto analyst Michael also echoed similar sentiments about XRP, stating that a parabolic rally could begin at any time. He declared that this will be the biggest breakout of the year, as the altcoin has already bottomed. 

XRP Yet To Bottom Despite Recent Relief Rally

Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has indicated that XRP has yet to bottom despite its recent rally above $1.4. In an X post, he stated that the weekly chart presents a very interesting diminishing downside structure relative to the 200 SMA. He noted that during the first major cycle low, XRP bottomed roughly 60% below the 200 SMA. Meanwhile, during the second major cycle low, the token bottomed roughly 40% below the 200 SMA. 

Applying the same diminishing downside pattern, the analyst said the next major low could be 20% below the 200 SMA, implying a price target of $0.93. Egrag Crypto stated that this thesis wasn’t unreasonable because mature assets tend to experience reduced downside volatility and smaller capitulation percentages. Such assets are also said to have stronger macro support structures and more institutional liquidity stabilization. 

At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.45, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

XRP

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