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Bitcoin’s $10K range expected to hold until spot traders show up: Data

Jon Hartney by Jon Hartney
March 31, 2026
in Bitcoin, Blockchain, Business, Market
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Bitcoin’s $10K range expected to hold until spot traders show up: Data

Futures market activity continues to drive Bitcoin price, while insufficient buy-side spot demand shortens the length of bullish breakouts and pins BTC in a $10,000 range.

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Bitcoin’s (BTC) price action has been pinned between $60,000 and $70,000 over the past two months as leverage-dominant trading, weak spot market demand, and consistent losses from short-term holders have prevented rallies from sustaining their momentum. 

Combined, these market events create the current fragile setup, where Bitcoin price stability depends more on futures positioning than fresh capital inflows and this explains why BTC price remains volatile within its current range.

According to Wintermute, the perpetual futures market activity continues to outweigh spot participation across the major exchanges. The perp-to-spot volume ratio has climbed to 15 times (15X), pointing to a price control largely by leveraged positioning. The funding rates oscillate between positive and negative without holding a trend, showing a lack of directional bias among futures traders.

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