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Price analysis 9/29: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SOL, TON, DOT, MATIC

Jon Hartney by Jon Hartney
September 29, 2023
in Bitcoin, Blockchain, Business, Market
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Price analysis 9/29: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SOL, TON, DOT, MATIC
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Crypto bulls are attempting a comeback. Here are the altcoins that traders are keeping an eye on.

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Bitcoin (BTC) is attempting to trade above $27,000 which is a positive sign. In the past few days, Bitcoin’s price held up above $26,000 in adverse conditions when the United States dollar index (DXY) was rising sharply and the S&P 500 index (SPX) was plunging. This suggests that selling dries up at lower levels.

The decision by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission to delay the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETFs) ahead of schedule also did not dent prices. This indicates that the market participants are taking a longer-term view on Bitcoin. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart believes that an early decision was taken by the regulator as there is a risk of a U.S. government shutdown on Oct. 1.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Bitcoin’s resilience over the past few days seems to have boosted trader’s sentiment. That helped start a recovery in most major altcoins, which are trying to climb above their respective resistance levels.

Could Bitcoin extend its up-move in the near term and will that start a revival in the crypto space? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

After struggling for several days, the bulls finally propelled Bitcoin above the moving averages on Sep. 28. The bulls are currently trying to thwart attempts by the bears to yank the price back below the 20-day exponential moving average ($26,534).

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The moving averages are on the verge of a bullish crossover and the relative strength index (RSI) is in the positive territory, indicating that the path of least resistance is to the upside. There is a minor resistance at $27,500 but it is likely to be crossed.

The BTC/USDT pair could then rally to the overhead resistance at $28,143. This level is again likely to witness a tough battle between the bulls and the bears.

On the downside, the $26,000 level is an important level to watch out for. If this level gives way, the advantage will tilt in favor of the bears. The pair may then nosedive to the formidable support at $24,800.

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) climbed and closed above the 20-day EMA ($1,622) on Sep. 28, indicating that the selling pressure is reducing. The buyers continued their purchase and cleared the hurdle at the 50-day simple moving average ($1,660) on Sep. 29.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls will try to drive the price to the overhead resistance of $1,746. This is an important level to keep an eye on because if buyers overcome this barrier, the ETH/USDT pair will complete a double bottom pattern. This reversal setup has a target objective of $1,961.

On the contrary, if the price turns down from $1,746, it will indicate that the bears remain sellers on rallies. The price could then dip to the 20-day EMA. If the price rebounds off this support, it will enhance the prospects of a rally above $1,746. The bears will be back in the game if they drag the price back below the 20-day EMA.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) has been trading inside the $220 to $203 range for the past few days. The bulls are trying to nudge the price to the overhead resistance at $220.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($213) is flat but the RSI has risen into positive territory, indicating that the momentum is turning in favor of the bulls. If the $220 resistance is surmounted, the BNB/USDT pair could surge to $235.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down sharply from $220, it will indicate that the range-bound action may continue for a while longer. The next leg of the downtrend will begin after bears tug the price below $203.

XRP price analysis

Buyers pushed XRP (XRP) above the 20-day EMA ($0.50) on Sep. 28 and followed that up with a move above the resistance line of the symmetrical triangle pattern on Sep. 29.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price sustains above the triangle, it will signal that the uncertainty has resolved in favor of the buyers. The XRP/USDT pair could then rally to the overhead resistance at $0.56. This is an important resistance to watch out for because a break above it will clear the path for a potential rally to the pattern target of $0.64.

Contrarily, if the price turns down and re-enters the triangle, it will indicate that markets have rejected the higher levels. The bears will then try to gain the edge by pulling the price below the uptrend line of the triangle.

Cardano price analysis

The bulls are trying to sustain Cardano (ADA) above the 20-day EMA ($0.25) on Sep. 29, which shows that the bears are losing their grip.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

A break and close above the downtrend line will invalidate the bearish descending triangle pattern. Generally, the failure of a bearish pattern results in a sharp up-move as the sellers rush to exit their shorts and the bulls waiting on the sidelines start buying. That could propel the ADA/USDT pair to $0.29 and subsequently to $0.32.

Time is running out for the bears. If they want to regain control, they will have to defend the downtrend line and pull the price below $0.24. The next support on the downside is at $0.22.

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin’s (DOGE) range has shrunk in the past few days, increasing the prospect of a range expansion within the next few days.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($0.06) is flattening out and the RSI is just below the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. If buyers kick the price above the 20-day EMA with force, it will signal the start of a recovery. The DOGE/USDT pair could first rise to $0.07 and thereafter to $0.08.

If bears want to prevent the upside, they will have to quickly drag the price below $0.06. If they do that, the pair may plunge to the next critical support at $0.055.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) remains stuck inside the large range between $27.12 and $14 for the past several days. Trading inside a range can be random and volatile as bulls typically buy at the support and sell near the resistance.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls are trying to start a relief rally, which has reached the 50-day SMA ($20.44). This is an important level to watch out for because a break above it will suggest that the bulls are back in the game. The SOL/USDT pair could then rise to $22.30.

Instead, if the price turns down from the 50-day SMA, it will indicate that the bears are active at higher levels. Sellers will have to tug the price below $18.50 to open the doors for a retest of $17.33.

Related: Why is Ether (ETH) price up today?

Toncoin price analysis

Toncoin (TON) rebounded off the 20-day EMA ($2.13) on Sep. 27, indicating that the sentiment remains positive and traders are buying on dips.

TON/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The long wick on the Sep. 27 and 28 candlestick shows that the bears are selling at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $2.28. However, a positive sign in favor of the bulls is that they have not allowed the price to slip below the 20-day EMA.

Buyers will have to shove the price above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $2.40 to open the doors for a retest of the stiff overhead resistance at $2.59. This positive view will invalidate if the price turns down and plummets below $2.07.

Polkadot price analysis

The failure of the bears to sink Polkadot (DOT) below the $3.91 support indicates that the range-bound action remains intact.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Buyers will try to drive the price above the 20-day EMA ($4.10) and challenge the overhead resistance at the 50-day SMA ($4.32). If this level is cleared, the DOT/USDT pair could surge to the downtrend line. The bulls will have to overcome this barrier to signal a potential trend change.

The important support to watch on the downside is $3.91. A break below this level will suggest the resumption of the downtrend toward $3.58.

Polygon price analysis

Polygon (MATIC) turned up from $0.50 on Sep. 28 indicating solid buying at lower levels. The price has reached the 20-day EMA ($0.52), which is an important level to keep an eye on.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The positive divergence on the RSI indicates that the selling pressure is reducing. That enhances the prospects of a break above the moving averages. The MATIC/USDT pair could then retest the overhead resistance at $0.60. The bears are expected to protect this level with vigor.

If bears want to maintain their control, they will have to yank the price below the strong support at $0.49. If this support gives way, the pair may drop to $0.45.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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