The price of Bitcoin has continued to hover around the $70,000 level this weekend, establishing a choppy structure above this psychological level. According to the latest on-chain data, a significant buy alarm has gone off for BTC, indicating the potential start of a bull market.
Has BTC Price Reached Its Cycle Bottom?
On Saturday, March 21, popular market analyst Ali Martinez took to the social media platform X to sound a bullish alarm for Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. The crypto pundit posited that the market leader could be at the beginning of a period of extended upward movement.
The rationale behind this bullish projection is the recent shift in the Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) metric. The Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse is an on-chain indicator that measures BTC flows between spot and derivative exchanges using the Bitcoin exchange flow data.
Changes in this on-chain metric are useful in determining whether investor sentiment in the Bitcoin market is bullish or bearish. Typically, the IFP indicator rises when significant amounts of BTC are being moved to derivative exchanges, suggesting a growing risk appetite and the potential imminence of a bullish period.
The movement of the IFP (purple line) in relation to its 90-day moving average (broken lines) helps to identify price tops and bottoms while determining the potential long-term trend of the cryptocurrency. When the Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse crosses below its 90-day average, it signals a potential bear market and prolonged price downturn.
As observed in the chart above, the IFP trended beneath the 90-day average early last year, suggesting that the current bear market started as far back as the first quarter of 2025. While the Bitcoin price initially ran up to a new all-time high above $126,000, the flagship cryptocurrency has since shaved off nearly 45% in value since the cycle peak.
What’s more interesting, the price of Bitcoin appears to have hit its bottom, with the IFP crossing back above the 90-day average in recent weeks. As Martinez mentioned in his post on X, this crossover is a major buy signal that could suggest “big money is getting ready for a rally.”
However, investors might want to approach the market with caution, especially considering that the IFP can sometimes be a leading indicator, meaning that the bullish effect on price might not reflect until later.
Bitcoin Price At A Glance
As of this writing, BTC is valued at around $70,360, reflecting a 0.3% price increase in the past 24 hours.
