A lone green candle on XRP’s three-week chart is drawing attention from at least one analyst who believes it could be the start of something bigger than a routine bounce.
Crypto analyst CW, posting on X, flagged a bullish candlestick formation on the XRP/USD 3W chart that he says signals the opening of a full-scale uptrend. One that, if his cycle analysis holds, with the setup pointing first to a retest of the all-time high zone and then, in an extreme scenario, to $21.5.
New Uptrend Is Starting On The 3-Week Chart
Technical analysis of XRP’s price action on the 3-week candlestick timeframe chart is revealing an interesting signal. The signal itself is straightforward: a green candlestick has been printed on XRP’s three-week chart at a time when the price is sitting just above $1.38.
The analysis comes from crypto analyst CW, and according to this projection, this could be the first bullish wick that shows sellers are losing control on this higher timeframe.
It is important to note that the rally hasn’t kicked off yet, and XRP is still looking to solidify a break above $1.4. Also, indicators are yet to print full-scale uptrend signals, but according to the analyst, these bullish reversal signals will appear soon.
Those sub-indicators are visually consistent with a momentum oscillator cycling between oversold and overbought extremes shown in the chart below. They have printed blue dots at every significant XRP low since 2014, including the floors that preceded the 2017 and 2021 rallies. A new blue dot appears to be forming now.
Multi-Phase Cycle That Sends XRP Price To $21.5
The chart attached to the analysis lays out two cycle structures divided into four separate phases. In the first cycle, Phase 1 was the initial markup, Phase 2 a massive correction, Phase 3 a prolonged descending consolidation inside a symmetrical triangle, and Phase 4 was a breakout.
The technical analysis places the current cycle as tracing the same sequence almost precisely. Phase 2 printed as the post-2021 bear market decline, Phase 3 as the multi-year compression between 2022 and 2024, and the surge to $3.65 as the first part of Phase 4 in the new cycle.
XRP is now, by this reading, still playing out Phase 4 into a move that overshoots everything that came before, despite being down by about 62% from its all-time high price. Interestingly, the chart also labels the first upside objective as a return to this all-time high.
Therefore, before any talk of double-digit prices, XRP would first need to reclaim the zone around its prior record of $3.65. CW’s final projection is a cycle top at $21.5, which he ties to the Fibonacci 6.618 extension level. That level is marked as TP2 on the chart, with the all-time high zone serving as TP1.
