XRP might be currently trading in corrections, but technical analysis shows the cryptocurrency is still headed in an upward direction.
A recent analysis shared on X by crypto analyst JD frames the pullback as a calculated reset, arguing that the correction fits neatly into a larger setup that may determine XRP’s next major move. The lower the XRP price goes, the higher the breakout will be.
Falling Wedge Breakout: The July 2025 Precision Move
Technical analysis shared on X by crypto analyst JD shows that XRP’s price action has been following a well-laid-out plan that goes as far back as early 2025. The 3D candlestick price chart shows that XRP spent the first half of 2025 trading inside a falling wedge, a structure that is known for resolving to the upside.
That setup played out cleanly in July 2025, when the XRP price broke above the falling wedge and reached JD’s projected measured target with accuracy. The completion of that measured target led to the start of a correction, which is where the current technical structure comes into focus.
After the July breakout, XRP transitioned into a descending broadening wedge characterized by lower lows and lower highs that expand over time. This structure has governed price action since mid-2025 and explains the steady grind lower. JD’s comments reference this phase directly, noting that the recent 23% correction unfolded as he had predicted. With this in mind, the analyst noted that the lower the XRP price goes, the higher the breakout will be.
Next Direction For XRP Price
The descending broadening wedge on the three-day chart comes with a clear measured projection that outlines where this corrective phase could terminate. As it stands, there’s still a possibility that the XRP price will continue declining to as low as $1.5 before rebounding at the lower trendline of the descending wedge.
If the price reaches this projected region and selling pressure weakens as anticipated, the setup favors a sharp reversal higher, consistent with how XRP previously reacted after the falling wedge completed in July 2025. However, it is important to keep in mind that the price doesn’t necessarily have to fall to as low as $1.5 before an upward rebound happens.
On the other hand, an eventual break above the upper trendline of the descending wedge is projected by crypto analyst JD to push XRP as high as $4, which would place the cryptocurrency trading at new price highs. The most important thing right now is a close above $2.3 in order to cement this break above the descending wedge.
At the same time, on-chain data points to cautiousness in the near term. Data from Glassnode shows that XRP is slipping back into a cost-basis setup similar to what was last observed in February 2022, a trend that might influence sell pressure in the near future.
