A mix of on-chain, fundamental and technical indicators hints at a big XRP price rally in the works.
XRP XRP has made considerable gains over the past month as traders continue to shower confidence on Ripple’s legal win against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
For instance, XRP price has gained 25% thirty days after Ripple and the SEC filed for an immediate ruling on whether or not XRP sales violated U.S. securities laws. In comparison, Bitcoin BTC and Ether ETH are down 4% and 11% over the same period, respectively.
Now, a flurry of indicators, ranging from on-chain to technical, hints XRP can continue its uptrend going into 2023.
XRP price “bull pennant”
Bull pennants are bullish continuation patterns that form as the price consolidates in a triangle-like range after a strong upside move. In other words, they resolve after the price breaks out in the direction of its previous uptrend.
On the daily chart, XRP has been trending inside a similar technical structure since late September, as shown below. While at it, the token has also attempted to break above the pennant twice, albeit to no success. It now eyes another breakout in the coming days.
Theoretically, a bull pennant breakout increases the price by as much as the size of the previous uptrend. Therefore, XRP’s bull pennant breakout can push the price toward $0.63 in Q4 2022.
That would mean a 35% price rally.
Strong accumulation detected
XRP’s bullish technical setup receives further cues from on-chain data, showing accumulation is underway.
Notably, XRP’s mean coin age — the average age of all tokens on the blockchain measured by the purchase price — has been rising since September, according to data from Santiment. The metric theoretically suggests that XRP users have been increasingly holding the tokens.
In addition, data tracker Whale Alert detected millions of dollars worth of XRP withdrawals across Bitstamp, Bitso, and other crypto exchanges, reducing the supply that can be potentially sold.
Notably, investors have moved a total of $126 million worth of XRP from exchanges to unknown wallets since Oct. 14. In comparison, $78.99 million worth of XRP was deposited into these exchanges.
65,200,000 #XRP (31,260,398 USD) transferred from #Bitso to unknown wallethttps://t.co/uZcv8p7bcD
— Whale Alert (@whale_alert) October 13, 2022
A legal win for Ripple?
The root of all bullishness for XRP over the past few months is Ripple’s potential to win against the SEC.
One of Ripple’s core arguments is a speech by former SEC director William Hinman at the Yahoo Finance All Markets Summit in 2018. Hinman said Ethereum was not a security despite conducting an initial coin offering (ICO) round to raise funds.
Related: Federal regulators are preparing to pass judgment on Ethereum
Ripple’s defense is that the SEC should treat XRP like Ethereum. And many believe the argument will guarantee a win for the company. For example, Seeking Alpha Contributor The Digital Trend stated:
“The news that the court has rejected SEC’s objection to disclosing more documents linked to Hinman’s 2018 speech led to a surge in XRP price on September 30; XRP rallied by 12% in twenty-four hours […] These post-hearing rallies might just be a taste of what is to come if XRP wins the case.”
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse anticipates the case to conclude in the first half of 2023. However, he admitted that the results of the case is hard to predict.
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